Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 86.842680 96.939114 107.249612 118.535898 130.512932 142.815577 156.379335
2025-02-09 70.242927 84.675103 100.061395 117.563053 136.800594 157.192324 180.333131
2025-02-16 59.786821 76.490852 94.886797 116.398768 140.626482 166.851902 197.172911
2025-02-23 52.978710 71.430071 92.327285 117.333062 146.053600 177.658589 214.726137
2025-03-02 46.898208 66.512307 89.322449 117.198735 149.781519 186.155700 229.343045
2025-03-09 42.250246 62.831517 87.357087 117.900024 154.149417 195.118034 244.265675
2025-03-16 37.286861 58.312632 84.012206 116.633725 155.940344 200.899283 255.370941
2025-03-23 34.354588 56.110875 83.281779 118.318407 161.054969 210.405272 270.664998
2025-03-30 31.912082 54.335070 82.912493 120.301297 166.415081 220.120542 286.151136
2025-04-06 28.586071 51.102973 80.478697 119.544227 168.319655 225.654821 296.673772
2025-04-13 24.903299 47.077344 76.775814 116.982010 167.845704 228.225736 303.599785
2025-04-20 23.957334 46.876451 78.065629 120.739122 175.139533 240.084642 321.518186
2025-04-27 22.636281 46.057353 78.502869 123.414718 181.147142 250.491332 337.854448
2025-05-04 20.120838 43.248967 76.086325 122.259503 182.273434 254.937626 347.051692
2025-05-11 17.849203 40.616007 73.758810 121.091811 183.279589 259.158348 355.916737
2025-05-18 16.421907 39.207769 73.071304 122.044835 186.941702 266.607608 368.664395
2025-05-25 14.810894 37.353130 71.638452 121.907870 189.140383 272.209676 379.147561
2025-06-01 13.567594 36.011096 70.875629 122.625972 192.405242 279.110060 391.201948
2025-06-08 11.928561 33.811553 68.722189 121.329130 192.966796 282.586520 399.032887
2025-06-15 11.142550 33.089794 68.755737 123.054436 197.486124 291.021335 412.960404
2025-06-22 10.482296 32.543861 69.022237 125.084852 202.399160 299.953905 427.515333
2025-06-29 9.277901 30.817735 67.364000 124.309673 203.526508 304.065976 436.091885
2025-07-06 7.828193 28.408992 64.493436 121.685831 202.091485 304.858981 440.500973